Rowing Together: Developing Parallel Paths to Stability, Denuclearization, and a Peace Regime on the Korean Peninsula

May 10, 2012

Beijing, China

Workshop Agenda

Opening Remarks

Prof. Qu Xing, CIIS
Rear Adm. (U.S. Navy, Ret.) Eric McVadon, IFPA
Prof. Choi Kang, IFANS

Session 1: The Current State of Play

The trilateral workshop will kick off with paper presentations by three participants from each participating nation. Presenters will provide an overview of the current security dynamic on the Korean Peninsula and prospects for enhanced trilateral cooperation given the policies and approaches of their respective governments. The presentations will serve as a launch point for further discussion and dialogue throughout the day.

Korean perspective: Dr. Kim Hyun-Wook, IFANS
Chinese perspective: Prof. Teng Jianqun, CIIS
U.S. perspective: Mr. L. Gordon Flake, Mansfield Foundation
Moderator: Mr. Weston Konishi, IFPA

Session 2: Stabilization on the Korean Peninsula

This moderated group session will first examine what is immediately required of trilateral cooperation in order to help stabilize the Korean Peninsula through political transition and rapidly evolving security challenges. What must Beijing, Washington, and Seoul do to control and de-escalate tensions on the peninsula in the face of potentially destabilizing events? What is the correct balance between assurance, deterrence, and dialogue among the three nations? What immediate humanitarian or socio-economic concerns need to be addressed on the peninsula? Secondly, beyond addressing immediate concerns, what concrete steps can China, the United States, and the ROK take together to ensure stability on the peninsula over the mid to long term?

Comments: Dr. Shin Beomchul, KIDA
Comments: Mr. Yang Xiyu, CIIS
Moderator: Mr. Alan Romberg, Stimson Center

Session 3: Denuclearizing the Peninsula

This moderated group session focuses on denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula and controlling the proliferation and use of nuclear weapons and weapons technologies. What is immediately required of China, the United States, and the ROK to limit nuclear development and prevent the escalation of a nuclear crisis vis-à-vis North Korea? How have recent events such as North Korea's satellite launch and potential underground nuclear test affected the response of the three nations to arms control and denuclearization? Are all three countries equally committed to denuclearization and, if not, how can they better harmonize their policies on this issue? Are these dynamics changing or likely to change given shifting security concerns and strategic interests on the peninsula? What concrete steps can Beijing, Washington, and Seoul take to improve trilateral cooperation on denuclearization and non-proliferation policies beyond the immediate horizon?

Comments: Dr. Cheon Seong Whun, KINU
Comments: Prof. Su Hao, China Foreign Affairs University
Moderator: Mr. Ralph Cossa, Pacific Forum CSIS

Session 4: Prospects for Trilateral Cooperation over the Long Term

This moderated group session explores how China, the United States and the ROK could cooperate over the long term to develop a regional security architecture and a possible peace regime on the Korean Peninsula. What confidence-building measures could be used as building blocks toward broader and deeper trilateral security cooperation? What are the priorities for trilateral cooperation over the long term? What concrete steps could Seoul, Beijing, and Washington take toward a potential peace regime on the peninsula and what structural obstacles would need to be overcome to reach such a goal?

Comments: Prof. Yoon Young Kwan, Seoul National University
Comments: Mr. Evans Revere, Stonebridge Albright Group
Moderator: Dr. Zhu Feng, Beijing University

Wrap-up Session and Closing Remarks

Moderator: Prof. Choi Kang, IFANS
Dr. Teng Jianqun, CIIS
Rear Adm. (U.S. Navy, Ret.) Eric McVadon, IFPA