WMD Proliferation & Disarmament

Following are all current, recent, and past IFPA projects, publications, conferences, workshops, articles, and presentations that address proliferation of weapons of mass descturction (WMD) and/or disarmament.

  • research projects
  • publications
  • conferences & workshops
  • articles & presentations
Peace Regime Building for a Nuclear Weapon-free Korean Peninsula: Next Steps for Capacity Building
In cooperation with institutional partners in Northeast Asia, IFPA is leading a nongovernmental multinational working group to discuss, research, and draft a joint proposal for a Korean peace regime that complements related inter-Korean efforts and facilitates North Korean denuclearization.
interim report (2.65 MB) || project details
Support to the Defense Department, Combatant Commands, and Military Service Leadership
This is an ongoing project for the Department of Defense (DoD), for which the Institute provides detailed policy reports and organizes high-level workshops on critical issues of national security for DoD, combatant command (COCOM), and military service leaderships.
project details
Building Six-Party Capacity for a WMD-Free Korea
This three-year study completed in 2008 involves all of the countries in the six-party process and examines how these countries can build a regional organization to help implement the key aspects of a denuclearization agreement reached with North Korea.
project details
Iran with Nuclear Weapons: Anticipating the Consequences for U.S. Security
Based on the assumption, unpalatable as it may seem, that a nuclear Iran is all but inevitable, this project, completed in 2008, focuses on three critically important questions.
project report (6.81 MB) || project details
Missile Defense and Counterproliferation Studies
Recognizing that over the first decade of the twenty-first century the United States and its allies will face a proliferation of precision weapons and missiles in the hands of adversaries, IFPA undertook several projects between 1997 and 2002 to assess U.S. and Allied missile defense and counterproliferation policy and technology.
Nuclear Stability in South Asia
This study, completed in 2001, examined ways to enhance nuclear stability on the subcontinent.
monograph (1.59 MB)
Development of a Post-Cold War Academic Curriculum
Launched in 1994, this project explores post-Cold War instructional approaches in professional military educational institutions, particularly with regard to the security ramifications of weapons of mass destruction (WMD) proliferation and deterrence.
Denuclearizing North Korea: Exploring Multilateral Approaches to Risk Reduction and Peace Regime Building
Weston S. Konishi
September 2011, 71 pp
Description
The final project report from a nongovernmental (Track 2) multinational working group led by IFPA to address security issues on the Korean peninsula.
project report (765 KB) || project details
Peace Regime Building for a Nuclear Weapon-free Korean Peninsula: What Next?
James L. Schoff and Yaron Eisenberg
May 2009
Description
North Korea's recent nuclear test is only the latest in a series of moves by Pyongyang that seem directed at "shaping a new diplomatic framework" for the Korean Peninsula, rejecting the Six-Party process and returning to its traditional insistence on bilateral talks with the United States to end the Korean War. These developments illustrate the strong linkages between North Korean denuclearization and peace regime building on the Korean Peninsula (i.e., trying to institute a political solution to the Korean War beyond just a military armistice). Working with partners in South Korea, the United States, and China, IFPA is in the middle of a three-year project exploring peace regime building on the Korean Peninsula in ways that support and facilitate the denuclearization objectives of the Six-Party Talks; this interim report describes the results of over a year's worth of interviews, research, and a U.S.-South Korea bilateral workshop, up to and including North Korea's May 2009 nuclear test.
project report (2.65 MB) || project details
The Six-Party Talks and New Opportunities to Strengthen Regional Nonproliferation and Disarmament Efforts
Matthew Martin
March 2009
Description
Report of an October 2008 conference sponsored by the Stanley Foundation, the National Committee on North Korea, the Institute for Foreign Policy Analysis, and the Chinese Arms Control and Disarmament Association.
report (152 KB)
Updating U.S. Deterrence Concepts and Operational Planning: Reassuring Allies, Deterring Legacy Threats, and Dissuading Nuclear "Wannabes"
Jacquelyn K. Davis, Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Charles M. Perry, and James L. Schoff
February 2009, 22 pp
Description
Among the potentially contentious issues requiring focused attention and innovative thinking by the Obama administration are those relating to the future of U.S. deterrence planning. Members of the administration are already on record as favoring a significant unilateral reduction in U.S. nuclear weapons. Some are calling for the ratification of a Comprehensive (Nuclear) Test Ban Treaty; others are questioning proposals to update the U.S. nuclear infrastructure and modernize the U.S. nuclear warhead inventory to make American deterrent forces better able to meet and counter legacy and emerging deterrence threats and challenges. This paper provides an assessment of the future of U.S. nuclear planning and offers new ideas about deterrence in the dramatically changed twenty-first-century security planning environment.
report (1.67 MB)
Iran with Nuclear Weapons: Anticipating the Consequences for U.S. Policy
Jacquelyn K. Davis and Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr.
September 2008, 93 pp
Description
We need only ponder the problems posed by an Iran without nuclear weapons to begin to assess the challenges of an Iran in possession of an operational nuclear weapons capability. Considering the issue from the perspective of three different heuristic models of Iran’s proliferation—a defensive Iran, an aggressive Iran, and an unstable Iran—this report assesses the political, strategic, and operational implications of Iran’s attainment of a nuclear weapons capability. It assumes that absent strong, unified, multilateral action to impose a strict sanctions regime, a United Nations Security Council-approved embargo, or other tightly enforced trade and financial restrictions, current policies will not suffice to prevent Iran from becoming a nuclear weapons state.
report (6.81 MB) || project details
Nuclear Matters in North Korea: Building a Multilateral Response for Future Stability in Northeast Asia
James L. Schoff, Charles M. Perry, and Jacquelyn K. Davis
July 2008, 186 pp
Description
This 2008 monograph presents the findings of a three-year multilateral research project that explores ways to bridge differences among the parties and to develop a common approach to North Korean nuclearization. It explores the strengths and weaknesses of the six-party process and offers practical solutions to the numerous implementation challenges regarding nuclear dismantlement and verification, and coordinated economic assistance and investment.
available for purchase ($25) || project details
Building Multi-party Capacity for a WMD-free Korean Peninsula
August 2006, 49 pp
Description
Report of a workshop held on February 17, 2006,in Honolulu, Hawaii. Government officials and foreign-policy experts from the United States, China, Russia, Japan, South Korea, and Australia gathered for a one-day workshop to discuss the six-party talks and to explore options for building regional capacity to implement a denuclearization agreement with North Korea, if and when one is concluded.
workshop report (1.50 MB) || project details
Building Multi-Party Capacity for a WMD-Free Korean Peninsula
Multilateral Workshop Summary & ProjectReport
June 2005, 50 pp
report (1.47 MB)
Nuclear Proliferation and the Future of U.S. Defense and Deterrence Planning
Jacquelyn K. Davis and Charles M. Perry
January 2005
executive summary (7.42 MB)
The Evolution of TCOG as a Diplomatic Tool: First Interim Report
An IFPA Project Interim Paper
November 2004, 32 pp
report (1.72 MB)
Coordinating Regional Strategies for a WMD-Free Korea: A Multilateral Dialogue Report
Guillermo Pinczuk and James Schoff
May 2004, 32 pp
report (968 KB) || project details
Building Six-Party Capacity for a WMD-Free Korea
James L. Schoff, Charles M. Perry, and Jacquelyn K. Davis
January 2004, 112 pp
available for purchase ($25)
Nuclear Energy and Science for the 21st Century: Atoms for Peace Plus 50
January 2004, 74 pp
report (2.4 MB)
WMD Challenges on the Korean Peninsula and New Approaches: A Trilateral Dialogue Report
Summary report on a U.S.-ROK-Japan workshop
July 2003
report (1.24 MB) || project details
Missile Defense and Counterproliferation on the Korean Peninsula: Exploring U.S.-ROK Requirements and Options
January 2003, 34 pp
report (1.24 MB) || project details
Nuclear Stability in South Asia
Andrew Winner and Toshi Yoshinara
January 2002, 122 pp
report (1.59 MB)
Proliferation, Theater Missile Defense, and U.S. Security
January 1994, 44 pp
U.S.-Russian Relations Beyond New START: What’s Next, What’s Possible, and What’s Necessary
March 7, 2011, Washington, D.C., an IFPA-DTRA-EUCOM workshop
Exploring Options for Iran: Implications for DoD and Interagency Planning
January 28, 2011, Washington, D.C., an IFPA-DTRA workshop
Risk Reduction & Confidence Building on the Korean Peninsula: Challenges, Opportunities & Implications for Regional Stability
January 19, 2011, Seoul, Republic of Korea
Description
A one-day trilateral dialogue organized by IFPA, the Institute for Foreign Affairs and National Security (IFANS), and the U.S. Institute of Peace (USIP) and supported by the Carnegie Corporation of New York and the U.S. Defense Threat Reduction Agency.
workshop details || workshop agenda || workshop report
Preventing A Nuclear Iran: Current Challenges and Future Opportunities
October 19, 2010, Washington, D.C., an IFPA-DTRA workshop
Peace Regime Building on the Korean Peninsula
November 22, 2008, Washington, D.C.
Description
A bilateral workshop to help develop an allied consensus with regard to peace regime development on the Korean Peninsula and for broader U.S.-ROK policy coordination vis-á-vis North Korea.
interim report (2.65 MB) || project details
The Six-Party Talks and Opportunities to Strengthen Regional Nonproliferation and Disarmament
October 23 – October 24, 2008, Beijing, China
Description
A multilateral dialogue looking beyond the immediate challenges associated with North Korean denuclearization to begin to chart a course for managing that country’s re-entry into the NPT in ways that strengthen regional and global nonproliferation and disarmament norms.
report (152 KB) || project details
U.S.-European Dialogue on Combating WMD Proliferation
September 21 – September 22, 2008, Garmisch, Germany, in support of U.S. European Command and the Marshall Center/NATO
WMD Proliferation and Critical North Korea Scenarios
September 20 – September 21, 2007, Chantilly, Virginia, in support of the Office of the Director of National Intelligence
Building Multi-party Capacity for a WMD-free Korean Peninsula
April 27, 2007, Beijing, China
workshop details || workshop agenda || workshop participants
The Way Ahead with Iran: A Libya in Waiting, a Nuclear Pariah, or Something in Between?
August 1, 2006, Washington, D.C., in support of the under secretary of state for arms control and international security
SHAPE Seminar on Weapons of Mass Destruction: Risks and Challenges to Alliance Security
March 9, 2006, Brussels, Belgium, in support of General James L. Jones, the supreme Allied commander, Europe (SACEUR)
Building Multi-party Capacity for a WMD-free Korean Peninsula
February 17, 2006, Honolulu, Hawaii
Description
Government officials and foreign-policy experts from the United States, China, Russia, Japan, South Korea, and Australia gathered for a one-day workshop to discuss the six-party talks and to explore options for building regional capacity to implement a denuclearization agreement with North Korea, if and when one is concluded.
project report & workshop summary (1.5 MB) || project details
Options for Handling the Challenges Associated with Iran’s WMD Programs
June 25, 2003, Washington, D.C., in support of the National Security Council and the Defense Threat Reduction Agency
The WMD Challenge on the Korean Peninsula: Exploring a Joint U.S. - ROK Alliance Response
April 26, 2002, Washington, D.C., part of the Building Six-Party Capacity project
workshop agenda || workshop participants || project details
Consensus Building and Peace Regime Building on the Korean Peninsula
Charles M. Perry and James L. Schoff
International Journal of Korean Unification Studies 19, no. 1 (June 30, 2010)
article
The Road to Better US-North Korea Relations Starts in Seoul
James L. Schoff
PacNet, no. 8, February 22, 2010
article || project details
Broaching Peace Regime Concepts to Support North Korean Denuclearization
James L. Schoff
Produced as part of the Nautilus Institute study, Improving Regional Security and Denuclearizing the Korean Peninsula: U.S. Policy Interests and Options, 2009
paper || project details || about the Nautilus Institute study
An Iran with Nuclear Weapons
Lecture by Robert L. Pfaltzgraff, Jr.
Foreign Policy Challenges for the New Administration: Iran and the Middle East, seminar at the Fares Center for Eastern Mediterranean Studies, Tufts University, Medford, Massachusetts, March 6, 2009; Dr. Pfaltzgraff also served as panel moderator
talk (38 KB)
Nuclear Matters in North Korea: U.S. Strategy and the Six-Party Talks
Speech by James L. Schoff
Indianapolis World Affairs Council, Indianapolis, Indiana, May 20, 2008.