By David R. Tanks
This study is available in Adobe's PDF format here.
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Executive Summary - (1.24MB)
Chapter 1 - (2.33MB)
Introduction
NMD and it's place in the national security spectrum
Accidental or unauthorized missile strike against the United States
Strategic and tactical missile strikes against the Unites States
The International Security Situation and the Developing Missile Threat
China
North Korea
India
Pakistan
Iran
Iraq
Libya
Syria
Other states
Sea-based missile developments
Countermeasures against missile defenses
Threat Summary
Chapter 2 - (629KB)
U.S. Policy: The Arms Control and NMD Dichotomy
Congress, arms control, and NMD 2.3
Arms control: the hinge issue 2.4
Dealing with the ABM treaty 2.7
continued...
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Chapter 3 - (4.01MB)
Understanding NMD Technology 3.1
The potential target array 3.2
The midcourse and the target array 3.3
The terminal phase 3.6
Other payload options 3.6
Sensor systems: the critical technologies for midcourse intercepts 3.6
How infrared sensors work 3.9
High-altitude space-based infrared sensor systems 3.10
The Exoatmospheric Kill Vehicle (EKV) 3.13
Space-Based Infrared System (SBIRS)-Low 3.18
Active sensors: a look at the radar systems 3.20
The other non-sensor NMD systems 3.24
Technology development timing 3.28
Plotting the Path to Future Technology Development 3.29
Chapter 4 - (2.79MB)
The NMD Program 4.1
NMD threat levels: a limited challenge 4.2
A look at BMDO's historical planning concept: Capability 1 (C1) through Capability 3 (C3) 4.3
The current pacing items: development and testing 4.10
Overall NMD system capability: what will it be able to defend against? 4.15
Putting the system together 4.22
Conclusion 4.23
Chapter 5 - (1.94MB)
Alternative NMD Proposals 5.1
Boost-phase intercept 5.1
Sea-based NMD capability 5.4
The navy's exoatmospheric intercept program 5.5
The space-based laser (SBL) option 5.13
Conclusion 5.17
Chapter 6 - (201KB)
Findings and Recommendations 6.1
Findings 6.2
Recommendations 6.10
Appendix A - all(810KB)
ABM Treaty A.1
1974 Protocol A.4
Agreed Statements A.6
Common Understandings A.6
Appendix B:
The Evolution of National Missile Defense Policy B.1
Appendix C:
Boeing EKV C.1